It’s week 8 already? How did that happen so fast! While the UK prepares to potentially lock down, the US decides who/s going to live in the White House for the next few years, we’ll stick to what we know best; football!
Here’s some picks for this weeks games. As always, keep it fun, bet responsibly.
New England Patriots Vs. Buffalo Bills -4 (10/11)
After a 2-1 starts the Patriots have struggled, they now sit at 2-4 3rd in the AFC East. The Bills are top of the East at 5-2, their only losses coming to the Chiefs and Titans, who are a 11-2 combined. The Bills are coming off a flop to the Jets. Yes they won 18-10, coming back from being 0-10 down. But they made a meal of it, failing to get in the end zone with all their points coming courtesy of kicker Tyler Bass.
The Bills showing against the Jets was a bit worrying, but nothing on the level of the Patriots recent output. They’ve lost 3 straight, by a combined score of 28-77. Cam Newton has been impressive on the ground, on target for career high rushing yards and touchdowns. But he’s been poor through the air, he’s thrown 7 interceptions and only 2 touchdowns. His 71.7 quarterback rating ranks him 30th in the league and with only 193.8 yards a game through the year is 29th, not great.
Sundays showdown against the struggling Patriots could be a “get right” game for the Bills, how the times have changed.
Tennessee Titans -7 Vs. Cincinnati Bengals (10/11)
The Titans were a last minute field goal away from forcing overtime against the undefeated Steelers last week. Their stellar offence is averaging 31.3 points and 401.3 yards per game, 4th and 5th best respectively. The Titans travel to Cincinnati to play the 1-5-1 Bengals this Sunday. The -7 line seems low to me but is probably so as the Bengals do keep it close; in their 5 defeats only 1, their 3-27 flop against the Ravens, has been by more than 5 points.
The Bengals give up a 7th worst 395.1 yards/game and have traded away 2 time pro bowler Carlos Dunlap this week. Expect them to be playing catchup for most of the game.
Can they keep it close against the Titans? I’m betting they can’t.
New York Jets Vs. Kansas City Chiefs -19.5 (10/11)
When an unstoppable force meets a very movable object…
20 points is a big spread and usually I’d steer clear. But the 0-7 Jets lose by an average of 16.9 points, so maybe it isn’t? The green half of New York has allowed opponents to score over 30 in 4 of their 7 games so far this year. Their last placed (12.1 points/game) offence has only scored over 10 points on 3 outings this year.
The Chiefs are coming off an impressive 43 point showing last Sunday to the Broncos and should make minced meat of the Jets. For all the plaudits for KC’s offensive play it’s defence has been almost as impressive. Allowing on average 20.4 points/game (9th) and has an impressive 9 interceptions, 1 behind the league leading Colts.